The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herrera 36%
Draw 27.1%
Atlético Nacional 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.7%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
25.7%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Herrera - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cubilla J. (C) 12. Batchelor S. 6. Bethancourt F. 2. de la Espada J. 16. Florez E. 20. Lopez J. 27. Malci F. 69. Panama 15. Quintero K. 13. Rodriguez J. 7. Villarreal R.
1. Almengor D. (G) 20. Barrera J. 27. Barria J. 53. Diaz S. 22. Diaz S. 9. Henriquez M. (C) 3. Moreno G. 4. Pinzon J. 10. Riquelme M. 11. Rivera J. 23. Valencia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bethancourt F. 🟨,
34', Diaz S. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
35', de la Espada J. 🟨,
45+1', Barrera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Henriquez M. 🟨,
58', Diaz S. 🟨,
65', Riquelme M. ↓, Velasquez C. ↑,
65', Barrera J. ↓, P. Perez ↑,
65', Rivera J. ↓, Corpas A. ↑,
68', Lopez J. ↓, Rivera O. ↑,
69', Batchelor S. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Barria J. ⚽,
75', Florez E. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
83', Panama 🟥,
88', P. Perez 🟨,
90', Barria J. ↓, Garces A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Rivera O. 🟥,
Preview
Herrera has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Atlético Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herrera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.