Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)


	Alianza Panama		Herrera

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.24	3.69
	2.02	2.79	4.49	Watch
	2.01	3.13	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.91 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
45.9%

Draw
30.4%

Herrera
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Alianza Panama - Herrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Alvarado J.
17. Asprilla J.
14. Berguido R.
19. Diaz M.
1. Gonzalez J. (G)
2. Machado A. (C)
4. Merrit Y.
16. Mitre R.
18. Perdomo R.
22. Rodriguez M.
23. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
45. Campos O.
10. Diaz A.
15. Galvez A.
7. Guardia H.
20. Herrera R.
30. Melgar K. (G)
8. Rangel G.
12. Spencer D.
11. Verley R.
6. Wright D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Asprilla J. ⚽,
11', Panama 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Pimentel V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Berguido R. ↓, Verley R. ↑,
46', Diaz M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Verley R. ⚽,
68', Rodriguez M. ↓, Wright D. ↑,
68', Walker E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+4', Merrit Y. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.

Alianza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Herrera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
20.09.25	Deportivo Universitario - Alianza Panama	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Alianza Panama - San Francisco	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
18.08.25	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWTW
- Herrera FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
22.09.25	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Plaza Amador - Herrera	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Herrera - Tauro	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Herrera - Árabe Unido	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Herrera - Deportivo Universitario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
23.03.25	Herrera - Alianza Panama	2:2
23.08.24	Alianza Panama - Herrera	1:0
23.02.24	Herrera - Alianza Panama	1:2
09.09.23	Alianza Panama - Herrera	3:1
04.03.23	Herrera - Alianza Panama	2:1
04.09.22	Alianza Panama - Herrera	1:1
10.05.22	Alianza Panama - Herrera	2:0

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