Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Muquita Sánchez (La Chorrera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	San Francisco		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	1.72	2.92	5.15
	1.76	3.06	5.67
	1.36	4.83	7.64	Watch
	1.75	3.14	4.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	3.49 ↓ (3.89)	5.81 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Francisco
57%

Draw
26.9%

Atlético Nacional
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

San Francisco - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Francisco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Frias J. (G) 17. Benitez G. 8. Carrasquilla E. 3. Gondola E. 30. Mosquera A. 10. Pinzon D. 81. Ramirez A. 18. Rodriguez A. 27. Simmons V. 15. Triana L. 75. Wood J.	1. Almengor D. (G) 20. Barrera J. 27. Barria J. 53. Diaz S. 22. Diaz S. 9. Henriquez M. 4. Pinzon J. 11. Rivera J. 23. Valencia A. 5. Vega M. 14. Velasquez C.
Substitutes
14. Calderon Kevin 1. Cruz X. (G) 2. Edmund D. 5. Gargonia J. 97. Marin C. 6. Rangel E. 25. Rivera S. 20. Rodriguez E. 7. Samms E.	17. Corpas A. 8. De Gracia R. 21. de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. 7. Garces A. 3. Moreno G. 12. Moreno S. 26. Murillo G. (G) 19. P. Perez 10. Riquelme M. 25. Rivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Pinzon D. (Pen),
22', Carrasquilla E. 🟨,
32', Benitez G. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Triana L. ⚽,
45+4', Rivera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Diaz S. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Velasquez C. ⚽,
55', Wood J. 🟨,
59', Mosquera A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
59', Ramirez A. ↓, Marin C. ↑,
60', Triana L. ↓, Rangel E. ↑,
73', Wood J. ↓, Rivera S. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Rivera J. ⚽,
78', Pinzon D. ↓, Samms E. ↑,
88', Barrera J. ↓, de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. ↑,
88', Velasquez C. ↓, Riquelme M. ↑,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

San Francisco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Francisco is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Francisco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.10.25	Tauro - San Francisco	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	San Francisco - Árabe Unido	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	San Francisco - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Alianza Panama - San Francisco	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	San Francisco - UMECIT	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTT
- Atlético Nacional Panama
Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.10.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Panama	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Nacional - Tauro	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Nacional - Plaza Amador	2:5 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Árabe Unido - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
20.07.25	Atlético Nacional - San Francisco	1:3

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