The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Herrera 20.3%
Draw 25.2%
Tauro 54.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
26.7%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
25.2%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Herrera - Tauro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Melgar K. (G) 2. Nunez S. 5. Aguilar A. 6. Bethancourt F. 18. Castillo D. 20. Lopez J. 22. Gomez E. 24. De Gracia J. 7. Villarreal R. 10. Cox Goods J. C. 33. Conquet J.
12. Guerra J. (C) 3. Gondola E. 28. Sanchez J. 19. Hurtado K. 7. Pinzon D. 15. Figueroa J. 20. Perez B. 22. Hernandez I. 23. Penalba J. 10. Quintero C. 39. Perea A.
Substitutes
17. Betegon J. 15. Buelvas A. 4. Moreno M. 40. Perez P. 30. Roman S. (G) 25. Tenorio D. 14. Triana L.
18. Barria J. 6. Bernal K. 17. Cabrera W. 4. Diaz A. 21. Diaz S. 8. Orelien A. 52. Prado M. 1. Vargas J. (G) 25. Vargas J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Perez B. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Penalba J. ⚽,
41', Lopez J. 🟨,
45+1', Nunez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
46', Nunez S. ↓, Betegon J. ↑,
51', Cox Goods J. C. 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Penalba J. ⚽,
56', Conquet J. 🟨,
56', Aguilar A. 🟨,
58', Conquet J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 4, Pinzon D. ⚽,
64', 0 - 5, Penalba J. ⚽,
68', Gomez E. ↓, Triana L. ↑,
70', Pinzon D. ↓, Orelien A. ↑,
70', Sanchez J. ↓, Cabrera W. ↑,
70', Cox Goods J. C. ↓, Buelvas A. ↑,
74', Perez B. ↓, Barria J. ↑,
74', Quintero C. ↓, Bernal K. ↑,
78', Gondola E. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
79', Bernal K. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 6, Vargas J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 1.
Herrera is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Tauro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Herrera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tauro for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Herrera has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:13 (averaging 0.5:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Herrera against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.4:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Herrera - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
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Melgar K. (G) 
Buelvas A. 
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