Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Panama		Tauro

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.00	2.30
	2.60	3.10	2.43
	2.89	3.19	2.52
	2.88	3.31	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.40
	2.80	3.22	2.49
	2.80	3.05	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.48)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
32.8%

Draw
29.1%

Tauro
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alianza Panama - Tauro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 5. Campos O. 51. Carvajal D. 31. Machado A. (C) 23. Marquinez J. 13. Mendoza A. 16. Mitre R. 22. Rodriguez M. 29. Stewart A. 28. Alvarado J. 19. Vargas D.	12. Guerra J. (G) 17. Cabrera W. 2. Asprilla L. 5. Quintero K. 19. Hurtado K. 22. Hernandez I. 49. Olivardia A. 20. Perez B. 7. Pinzon D. 10. Quintero C. 18. Barria J.
Substitutes
17. Asprilla J. 10. Chiari G. 15. Galvez A. 2. Landazuri F. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 6. Marengo J. 3. Ortega Y. 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 9. Walters B.	6. Bernal K. 4. Diaz A. 51. Insturain J. 16. Julio J. 11. Mosquera K. 29. Munoz J. 8. Orelien A. 23. Penalba J. 1. Vargas J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Mendoza A. ⚽,
16', Quintero K. 🟨,
23', Hernandez I. 🟨,
39', Mendoza A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stewart A. ↓, Walters B. ↑,
58', Vargas D. ↓, Ortega Y. ↑,
62', Olivardia A. ↓, Penalba J. ↑,
62', Barria J. ↓, Orelien A. ↑,
63', Perez B. ↓, Bernal K. ↑,
73', Cabrera W. 🟨,
78', Guerra J. 🟨,
81', Pinzon D. ↓, Mosquera K. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Alvarado J. ⚽,
85', Machado A. 🟨,
89', Carvajal D. ↓, Chiari G. ↑,
89', Alvarado J. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
90', Asprilla L. ↓, Insturain J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.

Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tauro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Tauro - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.08.26	Alianza Panama - Plaza Amador	2:4 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.07.26	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW
- Tauro FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
17.08.26	Tauro - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tauro - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	UMECIT - Tauro	5:2 ✺
25.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.04.26	Tauro - Alianza Panama	1:1
18.01.26	Alianza Panama - Tauro	1:1
11.10.25	Alianza Panama - Tauro	2:1
20.07.25	Tauro - Alianza Panama	2:1
27.04.25	Alianza Panama - Tauro	1:0
27.01.25	Tauro - Alianza Panama	1:2
26.10.24	Alianza Panama - Tauro	0:1

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