Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Los Milagros (Llano Bonito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Herrera		UMECIT

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.10	2.00
	3.70	3.15	1.90
	3.41	3.36	2.15
	3.47	3.44	2.04	Watch
	3.15	3.30	2.10
	3.44	3.34	2.09
	3.35	3.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.7)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herrera
26.9%

Draw
28.1%

UMECIT
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.5%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (-3%)

Herrera - UMECIT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Roman S. (G) 27. Rivera J. 4. Moreno M. 6. Bethancourt F. 14. Triana L. 18. Castillo D. 22. Gomez E. 24. De Gracia J. 7. Villarreal R. 33. Conquet J. 10. Cox Goods J. C.	1. Almengor D. (G) 10. Gomez E. 22. Palmezano A. 23. Chanis E. 26. Araya J. 6. Fuentes J. 14. Ford R. 21. Almanza O. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 9. Murillo J. 7. Peralta H.
Substitutes
15. Buelvas A. 21. Castro A. 20. Lopez J. 1. Melgar K. (G) 19. Penalba A. 40. Perez P. 3. Rivas J. 25. Tenorio D.	62. Casazola M. 3. Delgado J. 77. Diaz A. 17. Edwards A. 27. Garcia A. 2. Noville C. 92. Oliveira D. 19. Saldana A. 47. Valderrama B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Almanza O. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Peralta H. ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Almanza O. ⚽,
33', 1 - 3, Villarreal R. ⚽,
37', Rivera J. 🟨,
45+1', De Gracia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Triana L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
61', Murillo J. ↓, Casazola M. ↑,
61', Palmezano A. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
70', Gomez E. ↓, Tenorio D. ↑,
73', Gomez E. ↓, Valderrama B. ↑,
73', Peralta H. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
77', Castro A. 🟨,
78', Valderrama B. 🟨,
83', Castillo D. ↓, Penalba A. ↑,
86', Almanza O. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
87', Saldana A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

UMECIT will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Herrera won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Herrera won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Herrera - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herrera FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.09.26	Plaza Amador - Herrera	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Herrera	3:1 ✺
23.08.26	Herrera - Deportivo Universitario	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Herrera - Veraguas	2:2 ✺
03.08.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Herrera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLTT
- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.09.26	UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	UMECIT - Veraguas	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - UMECIT	4:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
15.08.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
23.03.26	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0
22.09.25	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0
06.04.25	Herrera - UMECIT	2:1
16.02.25	UMECIT - Herrera	2:1
13.10.24	Herrera - UMECIT	2:0
18.08.24	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0
17.04.24	Herrera - UMECIT	2:1

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