Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Herrestads		Vänersborgs FK

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.15	4.75
	1.81	4	3.11
	1.84	4.48	3.14
	1.8	3.8	3.25
	1.58	4.1	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	4.11 ↓ (4.15)	3.79 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herrestads
53.4%

Draw
22.4%

Vänersborgs FK
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herrestads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Vänersborgs FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrestads than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herrestads, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herrestad won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Herrestad is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Herrestad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Herrestad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Herrestads AIF	24	10	7	7	44:42	2	37
8	Vanersborgs FK	24	8	4	12	30:40	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herrestads AIF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
13.05.26	Ahlafors - Herrestads	5:0 ✺
08.05.26	Herrestads - Stenungsunds	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tord - Herrestads	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Herrestads - Lidkoping	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Grebbestad - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWL
- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
14.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Karlstad II	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Tord - Vänersborgs FK	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Vänersborgs IF	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
29.08.25	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	1:0
16.05.25	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	3:0
04.10.24	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	2:0
19.06.24	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	2:1
12.08.23	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	3:1
15.04.23	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	0:3
18.09.22	Vänersborgs FK - Herrestads	3:3

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