Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Koasastadion St. Johann in Tirol (St. Johann in Tirol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top event


	Hertha Berlin		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2.25	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.27	3.43	2.83
	2.28	3.73	2.78	Watch
	2.31	3.88	2.77	Watch
	2.27	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.46)	3.67 ↓ (4.6)	2.71 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
40.8%

Draw
25.1%

Cardiff City
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

19.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hertha Berlin's form might have worsened.

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Hertha Berlin - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 27. Cuisance M. 6. Demme D. 19. Dudziak J. 44. Gechter L. 4. Kempf M. O. 16. Kenny J. 10. Maza I. 39. Scherhant D. 25. Tabakovic H. 22. Winkler M.	1. Horvath E. (G) 17. Collins J. 39. Davies I. 4. Goutas D. 5. McGuinness M. 38. Ng P. 11. O'Dowda C. 8. Ralls J. 10. Ramsey A. 23. Siopis M. 32. Tanner O.
Substitutes
43. Goller T. (G) 33. Karbownik M. 14. Lum B. 40. Rolke O.	45. Ashford C. 33. Bagan J. 16. Chambers C. 27. Colwill R. . Dennis J. (G) 24. King E. . Kpakio R. 12. Rinomhota A. 47. Robinson C. 15. Turnbull D. 7. Willock C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gechter L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Collins J. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
60', Davies I. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
62', Goutas D. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
75', Ramsey A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
75', Ralls J. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
75', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
75', Tanner O. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
76', Siopis M. ↓, Rinomhota A. ↑,
78', 🟨,
80', O'Dowda C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
82', 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽,

Preview

Hertha in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cardiff is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hertha have a series of guest games.

Hertha will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Huddersfield Town - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	NEC Nijmegen - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
16.07.24	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Zwickau - Hertha Berlin	1:6 ✺
10.07.24	Babelsberg - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW
- Cardiff City
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Hamburger SV - Cardiff City	0:3 ✺
16.07.24	Cardiff City - Pen-y-Bont	7:1 ✺
13.07.24	Cardiff City - Kortrijk	3:1 ✺
10.07.24	Cardiff City - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWL

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