Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Hertha Berlin II		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.33	1.47
	5	4.75	1.5
	5.74	4.7	1.47
	5.74	4.7	1.48
	4.33	4.2	1.55
	5.58	4.61	1.46
	4.8	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (7.75)	4.54 ↓ (5)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin II
17.9%

Draw
20.3%

Energie Cottbus
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

17.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hertha Berlin II's performance.

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Energie Cottbus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin II than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hertha Berlin II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Energie Cottbus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Hertha Berlin II - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hertha Berlin II will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cottbus will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cottbus: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Putze J. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Pronichev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha Berlin II won 1.

Recent matches Hertha Berlin II is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cottbus is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cottbus is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hertha Berlin II won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Hertha Berlin II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin II
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.05.24	Hansa Rostock II - Hertha Berlin II	1:3 ✺
03.05.24	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Hertha Berlin II	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Hertha Berlin II - Chemnitzer	0:5 ✺
14.04.24	Hertha Berlin II - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLW
- Energie Cottbus
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.05.24	Energie Cottbus - Luckenwalde	3:3 ✺
04.05.24	Berliner FC Dynamo - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:3 ✺
21.04.24	Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Energie Cottbus - Greifswald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
27.02.24	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin II	3:0
01.04.23	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin II	1:2
14.10.22	Hertha Berlin II - Energie Cottbus	0:5
08.05.22	Hertha Berlin II - Energie Cottbus	1:1
20.11.21	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin II	2:2
18.10.20	Hertha Berlin II - Energie Cottbus	0:0
14.12.19	Energie Cottbus - Hertha Berlin II	3:1

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