Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Babelsberg		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.5	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.79	3.55	1.97
	3.79	3.5	1.94
	3.61	3.55	1.92
	3.55	3.55	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.74)	3.53 ↓ (3.94)	1.92 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
25.6%

Draw
26.2%

Energie Cottbus
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

23.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

22.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Babelsberg's form might have worsened.

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Energie Cottbus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Babelsberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cottbus will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Pronichev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Thiele T. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Krauss M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 0.

Recent matches Babelsberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cottbus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Babelsberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 2-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Babelsberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
14.04.24	Hansa Rostock II - Babelsberg	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Babelsberg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Meuselwitz - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
19.03.24	Babelsberg - Chemnitzer	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTW
- Energie Cottbus
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.04.24	Energie Cottbus - Greifswald	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Energie Cottbus - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Chemie Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Meuselwitz - Energie Cottbus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.11.23	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	4:0
21.05.23	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	1:0
10.12.22	Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus	0:1
23.04.22	Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus	0:2
31.10.21	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	2:0
20.09.20	Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus	0:1
27.10.19	Babelsberg - Energie Cottbus	0:1

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