Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 10

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hessen Kassel		Bahlinger

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.65	5.7
	1.47	4.59	6.38
	1.4	4.4	6.37
	1.26	5.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.81 ↓ (4.98)	6.66 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
66.8%

Draw
19.3%

Bahlinger
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

18.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

17.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bahlinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Bahlinger aligns with the current prediction.

Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Rupp L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Schmidt L. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Wehrle R. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Girth B. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 2.

Hessen Kassel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bahlinger has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hessen Kassel is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hessen Kassel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.09.25	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Hessen Kassel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWTT
- Bahlinger SC
German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.09.25	Bahlinger - Astoria Walldorf	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bahlinger - FSV Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	5:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bahlinger - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Bahlinger	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.04.25	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	2:0
26.10.24	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	2:1
30.03.24	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	1:1
23.09.23	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	0:1
13.05.23	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	0:2
05.11.22	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	3:2
23.04.22	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	2:3

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