Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Freiberg		Hessen Kassel

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.15	4.65
	1.71	4.08	3.9
	1.61	3.94	4.46
	1.35	4.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.38)	4.12 ↓ (4.43)	4.88 ↓ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
58.8%

Draw
22.3%

Hessen Kassel
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.7%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

19.6%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hessen Kassel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hessen Kassel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Freiberg - Hessen Kassel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Kudala J. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Peto L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Bravo-Sanchez A. ⚽,
31', 3 - 1, Grobelnik G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 3 - 2, Bonianga P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3.

Freiberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Hessen Kassel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Freiberg is the clear favorite.

We predict that Freiberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.09.25	Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg	2:5 ✺
13.09.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	5:0 ✺
05.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Freiberg - Balingen	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Trier - Freiberg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Hessen Kassel	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Hessen Kassel - FSV Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.04.25	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	1:0
12.10.24	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:0
20.04.24	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:1
14.10.23	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	1:2
04.03.23	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:0
26.08.22	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	0:0

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