Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Hessen Kassel		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.65	3
	2.08	3.79	2.91	Watch
	2.14	3.75	2.99
	2.11	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (3.76)	3.71 ↑ (3.68)	2.98 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
43.9%

Draw
25%

Freiberg
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hessen Kassel's performance.

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hessen Kassel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hessen Kassel - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3).

Hessen Kassel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Freiberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hessen Kassel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hessen Kassel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hessen Kassel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.04.25	FSV Frankfurt - Hessen Kassel	1:4 ✺
01.04.25	Hessen Kassel - Kickers Offenbach	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Hessen Kassel	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hessen Kassel - Göppinger	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WWWLT
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.04.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Freiberg	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Freiberg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Freiberg - Eintracht Trier	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.10.24	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:0
20.04.24	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:1
14.10.23	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	1:2
04.03.23	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:0
26.08.22	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	0:0

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