Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.55	2.88
	2.19	3.64	2.89
	2.19	3.72	2.76
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.16	3.45	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (3.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.28)	2.84 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
41.9%

Draw
25.9%

Freiberg
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

25.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz's performance.

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barockstadt Fulda Lehnerz - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Grobelnik G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Zie M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barockstadt won 2.

Barockstadt is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Freiberg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Freiberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barockstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barockstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Freiberg	10	5	5	0	26:11	15	20
17	Fulda-Lehnerz	10	1	3	6	14:22	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.26	Homburg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sandhausen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Bayern Alzenau	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Kickers Offenbach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWW
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.26	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiberg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Homburg - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Freiberg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.11.25	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1
22.03.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	1:2
14.09.24	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1
24.02.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	1:0
19.08.23	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	0:4
27.05.23	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiberg	3:0
19.11.22	Freiberg - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	3:1

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