Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)


	Hessen Kassel		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.52
	5	4	1.57
	5.25	4.2	1.66
	5.27	3.68	1.6
	4.86	3.92	1.57
	5	4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↓ (5.76)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	1.58 (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
18.2%

Draw
23.4%

Hoffenheim II
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

25.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

25.4%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Hessen Kassel - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hennrich P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Luyeye-Nkula J. P. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Zografakis N. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Hennrich P. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 1.

Hessen Kassel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hoffenheim II is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hessen Kassel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hoffenheim II is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:31 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hessen Kassel won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.10.24	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Hessen Kassel - FSV Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Kickers Offenbach - Hessen Kassel	6:2 ✺
21.09.24	Hessen Kassel - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Göppinger - Hessen Kassel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Hoffenheim II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Hoffenheim II - Eintracht Trier	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Hoffenheim II	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Hoffenheim II - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Freiburg II - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.03.24	Hessen Kassel - Hoffenheim II	1:0
03.09.23	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	2:1
07.03.23	Hessen Kassel - Hoffenheim II	1:1
07.08.22	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	2:0
20.03.22	Hessen Kassel - Hoffenheim II	0:0
28.09.21	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	2:0
04.05.21	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	1:1

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