Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)


	Hessen Kassel		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.65
	2.3	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.28	3.75	2.78
	2.15	3.7	2.7
	2.23	3.68	2.78
	2.25	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	2.73 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
41.2%

Draw
25.2%

VfB Stuttgart II
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Hessen Kassel - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 3.

Recent matches Hessen Kassel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stuttgart II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hessen Kassel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.23	FSV Frankfurt - Hessen Kassel	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	0:5 ✺
09.09.23	Hessen Kassel - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- VfB Stuttgart II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.23	VfB Stuttgart II - TuS Koblenz	7:3 ✺
22.09.23	Kickers Offenbach - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Homburg	1:8 ✺
09.09.23	Freiberg - VfB Stuttgart II	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Astoria Walldorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.04.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	3:0
08.10.22	Hessen Kassel - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0
11.12.21	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	1:3
25.08.21	Hessen Kassel - VfB Stuttgart II	3:2
06.02.21	Hessen Kassel - VfB Stuttgart II	0:4
05.09.20	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	0:2
14.12.17	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	1:0

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