Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 13

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Hestrafors		Bergdalen

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.4	3
	1.68	3.95	3.9
	1.64	4.1	4.1
	1.7	4.38	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	4.21 ↓ (4.5)	3.5 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hestrafors
53%

Draw
21.3%

Bergdalen
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

20.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

19.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hestrafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hestrafors's performance.

Bergdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergdalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hestrafors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergdalen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergdalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hestrafors - Bergdalen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Hestrafors (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bergdalen (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hestrafors (votes: 1 - 50%). Bergdalen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Vu00e4stra Gu00f6taland (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Hestrafors could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
15.06.25	Åstorps - Hestrafors	2:2 ✺
06.06.25	Hestrafors - Jonsereds	1:3 ✺
29.05.25	Västra Frölunda - Hestrafors	3:2 ✺
23.05.25	Hestrafors - Onsala	1:3 ✺
16.05.25	Hestrafors - Tvååker	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLLW
- Bergdalens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
15.06.25	Bergdalen - Varbergs GIF	1:5 ✺
05.06.25	Landvetter - Bergdalen	4:3 ✺
31.05.25	Bergdalen - Lindome	1:4 ✺
24.05.25	Bergdalen - Qviding	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Astrio - Bergdalen	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLLWL

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