Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Hestrafors		Onsala

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.60	3.20
	1.89	3.70	3.00
	1.85	3.85	3.19
	1.9	4.06	3.19	Watch
	1.83	3.80	3.15
	1.90	4.14	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.35)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)	3.16 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hestrafors
48.1%

Draw
23.4%

Onsala
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

22.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hestrafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hestrafors's performance.

Onsala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Onsala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hestrafors than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hestrafors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Onsala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hestrafors - Onsala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 9th).

Hestrafors has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Onsala have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hestrafors holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hestrafors has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hestrafors against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hestrafors	24	12	5	7	48:39	9	41
9	Onsala	24	8	6	10	33:37	-4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hestrafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
26.09.26	Jonsereds - Hestrafors	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hestrafors - Kongahälla	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Böljan - Hestrafors	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hestrafors - Lindome	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hestrafors - Torslanda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWW
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
27.09.26	Onsala - Qviding	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Astrio - Onsala	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Onsala - Galtabäcks	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Västra Frölunda - Onsala	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Onsala - Dalstorps	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
16.05.26	Onsala - Hestrafors	5:1
23.08.25	Onsala - Hestrafors	0:1
23.05.25	Hestrafors - Onsala	1:3

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