Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Secma Ground (Hillerød)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		Helsingør

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.44	4.6	5.5
	1.43	4.7	6.45	Watch
	1.47	4.75	6.54
	1.46	4.42	6.78
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.63	6.24	Watch
	1.42	4.4	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	4.56 ↓ (4.73)	6.36 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
65%

Draw
20.4%

Helsingør
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

18.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Helsingør has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Hillerød - Helsingør Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Helsingør will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hillerød: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azizi O. (G) 18. Sharif S. 7. Witt J. 2. Moller R. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 6. Due Grandt M. 8. Arndal T. 34. Alicino A. 19. Bay M. 17. Justinussen A. 81. Pingel S.	1. Kristensen K. (G) 2. Enghardt K. 3. Helstrup F. 39. Brems M. 11. Etim M. 14. Christensen M. 23. Christensen F. 7. Andersson E. 18. Carlius L. 20. Schoop J. 22. Karlsen F.
Substitutes
11. Ahmad A. 4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 90. Bruhn M. 30. Dalsgaard H. (G) 15. Julo M. 10. Kisum M. 14. Opoku S. 12. Schmidt N. 9. Schousboe V.	9. Agnero Y. 68. Dhaflaoui S. 24. Engdahl B. 10. Hasani F. 25. Hvid A. 4. Knudsen M. 88. Norouzi D. 6. Vadstrup J. 41. van Bladeren S. (G) 8. Ylatupa S.
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Santos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Christensen M. ⚽, Christensen F. (A),
21', Arndal T. ↓, Julo M. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Due Grandt M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Boje-Larsen L. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
46', Moller R. ↓, Arndal-Lauritzen G. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Opoku S. ⚽, Bay M. (A),
59', 3 - 1, Opoku S. ⚽, Julo M. (A),
60', Schoop J. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
60', Andersson E. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
60', Justinussen A. ↓, Ahmad A. ↑,
67', 3 - 2, Christensen M. ⚽,
69', Helstrup F. 🟨,
71', Alicino A. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
71', Karlsen F. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
71', Helstrup F. ↓, Vadstrup J. ↑,
73', Brems M. 🟨,
78', Brems M. ↓, Hvid A. ↑,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', Christensen M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Hillerød is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hillerød won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
05.05.24	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Hillerød - Næstved BK	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Hillerød - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Helsingør - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Horsens - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTTTL
- FC Helsingør
Danish 1 Division
05.05.24	Helsingør - Horsens	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Helsingør - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Horsens - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Helsingør - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Helsingør	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
13.04.24	Helsingør - Hillerød	2:2
01.03.24	Hillerød - Helsingør	4:2
23.08.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	1:6
Club Friendly
28.03.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	0:2
Danish 1 Division
03.03.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	2:0
10.09.22	Hillerød - Helsingør	0:2
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Hillerød - Helsingør	0:0

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