Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hybel Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Andersen N. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.24	3.32	3.47
	2.19	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.16	3.22	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.14)	3.17 ↓ (3.23)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
43%

Draw
29.3%

Hillerød
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Horsens - Hillerød Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Horsens will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 35. Kupijbida M. 24. Kolskogen O. 12. Tape C. 17. Herdonsson A. 20. Lusavec K. 27. Ouorou Y. 14. Madsen J. 10. Kirkegaard K. 15. Justinussen A.	1. Kappenberger A. (G) 3. Allen C. 7. Witt J. 25. Glindtvad W. 13. Larsen S. 6. Due Grandt M. 12. Schmidt N. 11. Mouritz M. 20. Kucukylidiz B. 9. Heiselberg F. 80. Sulemana H.
Substitutes
29. Brandhof F. 5. Bruus A. 30. Doua S. 4. Hausner S. 7. Milicevic I. 16. Moro A. 28. Saine A. 21. Samb M. M. 23. Smarsch D. (G)	4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 8. Arndal T. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 21. Enghardt K. 22. Jalaei S. 17. Julo M. 10. Kallsberg P. 14. Opoku S. 16. Toftegaard H.
Coaches
Zimling N.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Madsen J. ⚽, Justinussen A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Kirkegaard K. ⚽, Palsson V. (A),
51', Schmidt N. ↓, Kallsberg P. ↑,
51', Kucukylidiz B. ↓, Arndal T. ↑,
59', Ouorou Y. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
59', Herdonsson A. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
65', Sulemana H. ↓, Julo M. ↑,
65', Allen C. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
67', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Madsen J. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
78', Mouritz M. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
81', Madsen J. ↓, Moro A. ↑,
81', Kolskogen O. ↓, Hausner S. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Milicevic I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 2.

Horsens is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Horsens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Horsens has had a series of away games.

Horsens might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hillerod: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hillerod	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Horsens - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.4%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
30.04.26	Esbjerg - Horsens	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hvidovre - Horsens	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Horsens - Esbjerg	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Kolding IF - Horsens	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Hillerød - Horsens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWT
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
03.05.26	Lyngby BK - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Hillerød - Kolding IF	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Hillerød - Lyngby BK	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hillerød - Horsens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
11.04.26	Hillerød - Horsens	0:0
23.11.25	Horsens - Hillerød	3:1
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1
25.10.24	Hillerød - Horsens	2:0
26.07.24	Horsens - Hillerød	3:2
24.05.24	Hillerød - Horsens	2:0
05.04.24	Horsens - Hillerød	1:0

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