Match Info

1st Division - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Helsingor Stadion (Helsingor)

Referee: Svedborg B. H. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hillerød		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.40	2.20
	2.7	3.5	2.4
	2.95	3.56	2.37
	2.92	3.55	2.27	Watch
	2.6	3.65	2.45
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.45)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	2.37 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
34.2%

Draw
26.6%

Aarhus Fremad
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dithmer A. (G) 21. Enghardt K. 7. Witt J. (C) 5. Thelander R. 2. Hoyer A. 8. Arndal T. 47. Munck M. 11. Mouritz M. 20. Kucukylidiz B. 23. Sigurdsson J. 22. Jalaei S.	1. Hojbjerg V. (G) 6. Grube F. 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 33. Ludwig A. 4. Pisani A. 15. Nygaard C. 11. Lunding K. 12. Ryberg M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 7. Kaastrup M. 28. Egerton E.
Substitutes
19. Corlu R. 25. Glindtvad W. 17. Julo M. 15. Kretzschmar N. 13. Larsen S. 18. Lauritsen O. 30. Mortensen A. 14. Opoku S. 26. Ostergaard F.	70. Beluli J. 17. Bernasko Appu D. 21. de Claville M. 13. de Paoli V. (G) 20. Hjaltason O. 2. Kjolby M. 23. Kristjansson I. 14. Ronnberg L.
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Damgaard M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Egerton E. ⚽, Grube F. (A),
35', Hoyer A. ↓, Larsen S. ↑,
41', Witt J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Jalaei S. 🟨,
60', Enghardt K. ↓, Julo M. ↑,
60', Kucukylidiz B. ↓, Corlu R. ↑,
67', Lunding K. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
69', Arndal T. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
69', Jalaei S. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Corlu R. ⚽,
74', Nygaard C. ↓, J. Østergård ↑,
83', Pisani A. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
83', Ryberg M. ↓, de Claville M. ↑,
83', Egerton E. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
87', Sigurdsson J. 🟨,
87', Damgaard M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 2.

Hillerød has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aarhus Fremad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aarhus Fremad has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aarhus Fremad: 3.94% Hillerod: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13
9	Hillerod	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Hillerød - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
09.08.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Hillerød	5:4 ✺
01.08.26	Hillerød - Esbjerg	2:3 ✺
24.07.26	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hillerød - Lyngby BK	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
08.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Brabrand	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
21.03.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:0
09.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød	3:1
Danish 2 Division
19.03.22	Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød	3:1
04.09.21	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:0
Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
09.06.18	Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød	3:2
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
07.04.18	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2

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