Match Info

NSW League One - Round 8

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Newcastle Jets U23		Northern Tigers

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.12	3.7	2.03
	3.1	3.85	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.3	1.95
	3.09	3.86	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4)	3.66 ↓ (3.97)	1.98 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets U23
29.3%

Draw
24.8%

Northern Tigers
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

22.7%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

22.5%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Jets U23's performance.

Northern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northern Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Jets U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northern Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW).

Newcastle Jets U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Northern Tigers is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Northern Tigers is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle Jets U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
21.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Blacktown Spartans	3:3 ✺
15.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Inter Lions	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	Macarthur Rams - Newcastle Jets U23	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Canterbury Bankstown	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Prospect United - Newcastle Jets U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLT
- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
21.03.26	Northern Tigers - Hills United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dulwich Hill - Northern Tigers	0:5 ✺
07.03.26	Northern Tigers - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Inter Lions - Northern Tigers	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Northern Tigers - Bankstown City Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
28.06.25	Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23	2:3
15.03.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers	0:2

Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide