Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Hirnyk-Sport		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	13	5.5	1.2
	14.25	5.75	1.19
	13	5.2	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.42 ↑ (8.3)	5.48 ↑ (4.3)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hirnyk-Sport
6.8%

Draw
16.7%

Inhulets
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

21.2%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

20.7%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hirnyk-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inhulets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inhulets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hirnyk Sport - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Protsenko Y. (G) 15. Chernysh D. 13. Chertkoev I. 11. Dmytriev D. 30. Effiong E. 94. Moroz Y. O. 90. Ornat A. 66. Petrov Y. 27. Romanenko A. 77. Sheptitskyi M. 99. Zhukov M.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 27. Bogunov Y. 21. Chenbay S. 42. Gadzhuk I. 10. Kozak O. 2. Malysh S. 91. Melnychuk M. 8. Pyatov O. 97. Rezepov D. 23. Shershen M. 17. Sitalo A.
Substitutes
14. Chibueze C. 89. Gora B. 18. Kalchuk O. 12. Kozlov S. (G) 10. Molko V. 70. Nyzhnyk A. 17. Podrezan O. 9. Posyevkin R. 19. Tuzenko D. 95. Veklych D. (G) 24. Vysochyn D. 20. Yurchenko I.	15. Borovskyi A. 11. Chaban V. 20. Koltsov V. 7. Kozyrenko Y. 9. Kvasov Y. 19. Lisnyak R. 25. Miserzhy S. 77. Smetanka B. (G) 3. Stavnychyi V. 1. Voskonyan V. (G) 5. Zaporozhets E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hirnyk-Sport won 0.

Hirnyk-Sport has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Inhulets is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Inhulets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inhulets is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hirnyk-Sport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Hirnyk-Sport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.09.23	Chernihiv - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Hirnyk-Sport	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.09.23	Inhulets - Viktoriya Sumy	3:0 ✺
08.09.23	Kremin Kremenchuk - Inhulets	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:2 ✺
28.08.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.06.20	Inhulets - Hirnyk-Sport	2:1
Club Friendly
10.02.20	Inhulets - Hirnyk-Sport	2:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.08.19	Hirnyk-Sport - Inhulets	1:1
03.04.19	Hirnyk-Sport - Inhulets	1:1
26.08.18	Inhulets - Hirnyk-Sport	4:2
06.05.18	Hirnyk-Sport - Inhulets	2:0
06.10.17	Inhulets - Hirnyk-Sport	2:0

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