Match Info

UKRAINE: UKRAINIAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Hirnyk-Sport		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	11.7	7.1	1.18
	17	5.8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.35 ↑ (6.4)	6.45 ↑ (4.3)	1.18 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hirnyk-Sport
6.5%

Draw
14.4%

Kharkiv
79.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

21.2%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

15.6%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hirnyk-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hirnyk-Sport's form might have worsened.

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kharkiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hirnyk-Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-31.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kharkiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Protsenko Y. (G) 15. Chernysh D. 13. Chertkoev I. 11. Dmytriev D. 89. Gora B. 10. Molko V. 94. Moroz Y. O. (C) 66. Petrov Y. 77. Sheptitskyi M. 20. Yurchenko I. 99. Zhukov M.	12. Potimkov I. (G) 15. Abdullaev A. 7. Ari Moura 20. Chervak V. 79. Chyruk A. 33. Igor Henrique 4. Kovalenko I. 27. Kravchenko D. 17. Kurylo I. 8. Martynuk Y. (C) 5. Rudavskyi M.
Substitutes
14. Chibueze C. 30. Effiong E. 18. Kalchuk O. 12. Kozlov S. (G) 70. Nyzhnyk A. 90. Ornat A. 17. Podrezan O. 95. Veklych D. (G)	30. Bezuglyy M. 22. Dmytrenko V. 2. Kapinus D. . Kazaes L. 11. Remenyuk A. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 14. Yusov D.

Preview

Hirnyk-Sport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Metalist 1925 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hirnyk-Sport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Metalist 1925 is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hirnyk-Sport to win the game is with odds 14.35.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hirnyk-Sport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hirnyk-Sport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.08.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Kremin Kremenchuk	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
15.08.23	Trostianets - Hirnyk-Sport	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.08.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	0:1 ✺
07.08.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 LWWWW
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.08.23	Kharkiv - Mynai	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Veres Rivne - Kharkiv	1:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.04.21	Kharkiv - Hirnyk-Sport	3:2
26.10.20	Hirnyk-Sport - Kharkiv	3:0
04.09.19	Hirnyk-Sport - Kharkiv	1:2
11.05.19	Hirnyk-Sport - Kharkiv	1:1
13.10.18	Kharkiv - Hirnyk-Sport	2:1

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