Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Inhulets		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.15
	1.76	3.74	3.88	Watch
	1.69	3.65	4.31
	1.72	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	4.09 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
53%

Draw
24.7%

Viktoriya Sumy
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Inhulets - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhylkin A. (G) 4. Dubilei V. 7. Faraseyenko V. 42. Gadzhuk I. 77. Kasimov D. 9. Kyslenko S. 2. Malysh S. (C) 8. Pyatov O. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 20. Volokhatyi R.	32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 11. Lebedenko O. 45. Sasovskyi M. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 15. Yevpak M.
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 55. Dzen M. 17. Katrych V. 14. Melenchuk A. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 10. Sad V. 87. Skorokhod M. 24. Slutskyi O. (G) 69. Yanovich Y. 78. Yevtushenko O.	77. Bogunov Y. 16. Novotryasov A. 8. Palamar R. 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 19. Savitsky V. J. 7. Seytkhalilov S. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Faraseyenko V. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Knysh D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Kyslenko S. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Faraseyenko V. (Pen),
67', 4 - 1, Faraseyenko V. ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, Ryabyi D. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 8).

Inhulets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Viktoriya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Inhulets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inhulets is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Inhulets will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inhulets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Inhulets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
08.10.25	Inhulets - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Inhulets - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
09.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.11.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Inhulets	0:1
16.09.23	Inhulets - Viktoriya Sumy	3:0
Ukrainian Cup
15.08.23	Inhulets - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1

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