Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hitchin Town		Leighton Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.45
	2.51	3.47	2.6
	2.55	3.4	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.52	3.76	2.57
	2.55	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.36)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.55 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
36.5%

Draw
27.4%

Leighton Town
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Leighton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leighton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Hitchin Town - Leighton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Rhiney T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 18th).

In recent outings, Hitchin has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leighton Town has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hitchin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16:20	-4	13
21	Leighton Town	13	1	3	9	14:27	-13	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hitchin Town - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Bury Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
31.08.26	Bishops Stortford - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWLT
- Leighton Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Halesowen Town - Leighton Town	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Real Bedford - Leighton Town	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Leighton Town - Bury Town	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Anstey Nomads - Leighton Town	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Leighton Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Hitchin Town - Leighton Town