Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.5	2.22
	2.85	3.55	2.31
	2.82	3.34	2.25
	2.75	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
33%

Draw
26.4%

Royston Town
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hitchin Town - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Johnson C. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Brooks L. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Murray A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

Hitchin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Royston is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:19 (average 0.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Royston Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.81%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bishops Stortford - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hitchin Town - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLTT
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Banbury United - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Royston Town - Lowestoft Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Redditch United - Royston Town	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Royston Town - Stamford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	2:2
26.12.23	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	1:0
28.08.23	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	1:2
08.04.23	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	1:0
19.11.22	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	4:2
27.12.21	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	0:1
30.08.21	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	0:2

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