Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Royston Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.68
	2.42	3.25	2.75
	2.41	3.52	2.7	Watch
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.39	3.15	2.65
	2.33	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
38.3%

Draw
27.8%

Stourbridge
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Royston Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Royston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
45', 1 - 1, Bishop A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Bishop A. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Harness K. ⚽,
68', 2 - 3, Lewis D. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Royston won 0.

Royston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stourbridge has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Royston won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Royston won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Royston Town - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Stourbridge - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Stamford - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Worcester City - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Royston Town - Sudbury Town	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Royston Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Needham Market - Royston Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kettering Town - Stourbridge	5:0 ✺
26.11.25	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Stourbridge - Halesowen Town	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Worcester City - Stourbridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:2
12.10.24	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0
20.04.24	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0
11.11.23	Royston Town - Stourbridge	1:1
07.01.23	Stourbridge - Royston Town	5:1
27.08.22	Royston Town - Stourbridge	3:3
22.01.22	Stourbridge - Royston Town	1:0

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