Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim II		Homburg

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.9	6
	1.67	3.97	4.52
	1.58	4.19	4.6	Watch
	1.53	4.3	4.7
	1.41	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	4.45 ↑ (3.87)	5.16 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim II
61.1%

Draw
20.9%

Homburg
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

22.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim II's performance.

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoffenheim II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Hoffenheim II - Homburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rehus M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Walzer G. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Schmidt D. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Hoffenheim II is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 3. Liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim II won 2.

Hoffenheim II is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Homburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hoffenheim II is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hoffenheim II will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim II won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim II won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoffenheim II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.04.25	Eintracht Frankfurt II - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Hoffenheim II - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Mainz II - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
06.04.25	Hoffenheim II - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
01.04.25	Eintracht Trier - Hoffenheim II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.04.25	Homburg - Freiberg	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	FSV Frankfurt - Homburg	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Homburg - Kickers Offenbach	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Homburg - Göppinger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.11.24	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	1:0
02.12.23	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	1:1
19.08.23	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	1:2
27.05.23	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	2:1
25.02.23	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	0:0
17.12.21	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	2:1
28.08.21	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	3:3

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