Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hogar Alcarreño		Illescas

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.4
	6.75	3.8	1.34
	6.8	3.95	1.37
	7.56	3.86	1.39
	7.4	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↑ (6.2)	4.04 ↓ (4.32)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hogar Alcarreño
12.9%

Draw
22.1%

Illescas
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.6%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hogar Alcarreño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hogar Alcarreño than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hogar Alcarreño - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Hogar Alcarreño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Illescas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Illescas is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Hogar Alcarreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.12.21	Villacañas - Hogar Alcarreño	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Manchego	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Conquense - Hogar Alcarreño	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Almansa	0:3 ✺
13.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Torrijos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWLLT
- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.12.21	Illescas - Albacete B	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Villarrobledo - Illescas	3:2 ✺
04.12.21	Illescas - Tarancón	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Huracán Balazote - Illescas	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Illescas - San Clemente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Hogar Alcarreño - Illescas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hogar Alcarreño - Illescas Predictions

Preview

Form

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