Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 25

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Illescas

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.63	2.37
	3.16	2.9	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.04)	2.77 (2.77)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
28.4%

Draw
32.9%

Illescas
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

31.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs)).

Villarrobledo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Illescas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illescas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Illescas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villarrobledo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrobledo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.03.23	Manchego - Villarrobledo	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Villarrobledo - Conquense	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	La Solana - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.03.23	Illescas - Azuqueca	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Villacañas - Illescas	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Illescas - Talavera B	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Villarrubia - Illescas	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Illescas - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.11.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	2:0
08.05.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:1
10.04.22	Illescas - Villarrobledo	0:0
08.12.21	Villarrobledo - Illescas	3:2

Villarrobledo - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide