Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Hogar Alcarreño		Villacañas

	1	X	2
	12	5.2	1.17
	13.98	5.23	1.17
	13.5	6.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.16 ↑ (5.44)	5.51 ↑ (3.51)	1.17 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hogar Alcarreño
6.8%

Draw
16.4%

Villacañas
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

25.5%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

25.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hogar Alcarreño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hogar Alcarreño's form might have worsened.

Villacañas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villacañas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hogar Alcarreño than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hogar Alcarreño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villacañas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Hogar Alcarreño has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villacañas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hogar Alcarreño have a series of guest games.

In this match Villacañas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villacañas to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hogar Alcarreño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Hogar Alcarreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.04.22	Manchego - Hogar Alcarreño	6:1 ✺
02.04.22	Hogar Alcarreño - Conquense	0:3 ✺
27.03.22	Almansa - Hogar Alcarreño	3:2 ✺
13.03.22	Torrijos - Hogar Alcarreño	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Quintanar del Rey - Hogar Alcarreño	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.04.22	Villacañas - Albacete B	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Villarrobledo - Villacañas	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Villacañas - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	Huracán Balazote - Villacañas	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Villacañas - San Clemente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.12.21	Villacañas - Hogar Alcarreño	1:1

Hogar Alcarreño - Villacañas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide