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Current Win Probability
Villacañas 24.2%
Draw 43%
Tarancón 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
30.8%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
30.9%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villacañas's form might have worsened.
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villacañas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Villacañas - Tarancón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Moreno R. ⚽,
20', Juancho 🟥,
23', 1 - 1, Fizesan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 1.
Villacañas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tarancón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Villacañas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Watch
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