Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		Brabrand

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.6	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.63	2.31
	2.7	3.44	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.77)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
35%

Draw
27.1%

Brabrand
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Brabrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brabrand than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Holbæk - Brabrand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
56', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Holbæk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brabrand is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Holbæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
03.05.25	Næsby - Holbæk	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Odder - Holbæk	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Holbæk - Holstebro	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTWL
- Brabrand IF
Danish 3 Division
03.05.25	Brabrand - Brønshøj BK	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Brabrand	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Næsby - Brabrand	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Brabrand - FA 2000	4:3 ✺
06.04.25	Avarta - Brabrand	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
26.10.24	Brabrand - Holbæk	3:1
31.08.24	Holbæk - Brabrand	0:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
10.04.21	Brabrand - Holbæk	1:0
21.11.20	Holbæk - Brabrand	3:1

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