Match Info

3rd Division

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		Holstebro

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.1
	1.58	3.75	5.5
	1.6	3.76	5.07
	1.53	3.72	5.66
	1.58	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)	5.17 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
57.4%

Draw
24.8%

Holstebro
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Holstebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Holbæk - Holstebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Holbæk is Qualified for 3rd Division (Promotion Group )

Holstebro is 3rd Division (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holbæk won 5.

Holbæk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Holstebro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holbæk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holbæk is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Holbæk won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:2 (average 2.2:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Holbæk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Holbæk - Sundby	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Holbæk - Næsby	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	FA 2000 - Holbæk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTT
- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
06.04.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Holstebro - Brønshøj BK	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Sundby - Holstebro	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Holstebro - Brabrand	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	VSK Aarhus - Holstebro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
05.10.24	Holstebro - Holbæk	0:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.09.24	Holbæk - Holstebro	2:1
Danish 3 Division
01.04.24	Holstebro - Holbæk	0:1
16.09.23	Holbæk - Holstebro	3:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
09.05.21	Holstebro - Holbæk	1:3
31.10.20	Holbæk - Holstebro	3:0

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