Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Holbæk		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.35
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.7	2.79	2.82
				Watch
	2.55	3.33	2.66
	2.62	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
35%

Draw
28.9%

VSK Aarhus
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Holbæk - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holbæk won 2.

Recent matches Holbæk is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

VSK Aarhus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Holbæk won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Holbæk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
12.04.25	Holbæk - Holstebro	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Holbæk - Sundby	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Holbæk - Næsby	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTT
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
12.04.25	Young Boys FD - VSK Aarhus	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Brabrand - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	VSK Aarhus - Odder	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Lyseng - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
05.04.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	3:2
24.08.24	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	2:0
15.06.24	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	4:3
14.04.24	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	1:1
23.03.24	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	0:1
12.08.23	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	0:3
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
20.03.21	Holbæk - VSK Aarhus	0:2

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