Match Info

3rd Division - Round 7

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Holbæk		FA 2000

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.5
	1.48	4.15	5.15
	1.47	4.1	5.74
	1.7	3.9	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)	4.12 ↑ (3.78)	5.07 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk
60%

Draw
22.1%

FA 2000
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holbæk's performance.

FA 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FA 2000 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holbæk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA 2000 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FA 2000 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Holbæk - FA 2000 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Holbæk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Holbæk will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Holbæk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

FA 2000 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Holbæk is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Holbæk will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holbæk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Holbæk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
06.09.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Holbæk	0:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.09.25	Holbæk - Ishøj IF	3:0 ✺
Danish 3 Division
30.08.25	Holbæk - BK Frem	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sundby - Holbæk	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Holbæk - Brønshøj BK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW
- FA 2000
Danish 3 Division
06.09.25	FA 2000 - Nykøbing	1:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.25	FA 2000 - Hvidovre	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 3 Division
30.08.25	Brønshøj BK - FA 2000	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	FA 2000 - Vejgaard	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - FA 2000	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
08.03.25	FA 2000 - Holbæk	0:0
11.10.24	Holbæk - FA 2000	1:0
Club Friendly
21.01.23	FA 2000 - Holbæk	0:2
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
01.09.19	Holbæk - FA 2000	4:0

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