Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.33	3.05	2.12
	3.33	2.95	2.12
	3.41	3.08	2.09
	3.1	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
27.9%

Draw
29.2%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gabra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 1.

Recent matches Holon Yermiyahu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Holon Yermiyahu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.03.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Ironi Modiin - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Maccabi Yavne - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTT
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	4:4 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
15.01.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1
09.03.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	3:0
04.11.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1
08.04.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3
24.12.21	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2
13.12.19	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:0

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