Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.68
	2.4	3.32	2.67	Watch
	2.35	3.28	2.62
	2.42	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 (2.39)	3.18 ↓ (3.77)	2.68 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
37.8%

Draw
28.5%

Jerusalem FC
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', 1 - 0, Yosef K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Schwartz M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Cohen M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Cohen B. ⚽,
45', 2 - 3, Avihu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 3 - 3, Buskila S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Holon Yermiyahu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holon Yermiyahu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Holon Yermiyahu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jerusalem FC	5	3	2	0	9:4	5	11
11	Holon Yermiyahu	5	2	1	2	3:5	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
18.12.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Tzeirei Tira	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTW
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Jerusalem FC	0:4 ✺
05.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
07.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0
01.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	0:0

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