Match Info

DENMARK: 3rd Division

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Holstebro		Næsby

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	3.2	3.6	2
	3.16	3.65	1.97
	3.13	3.8	1.98
	3.16	3.68	1.96
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstebro
29%

Draw
25.1%

Næsby
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25.9%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.5%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Holstebro - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Saaby M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Lorentzen M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstebro won 3.

Holstebro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Næsby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holstebro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Næsby have a series of home games.

Næsby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Holstebro won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstebro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
26.10.24	Young Boys FD - Holstebro	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Holstebro - Odder	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Brabrand - Holstebro	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Holstebro - Holbæk	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Brønshøj BK - Holstebro	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Næsby BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
31.10.24	Næsby - Viborg	1:4 ✺
Danish 3 Division
26.10.24	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Næsby - Sundby	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Næsby - Young Boys FD	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
10.08.24	Næsby - Holstebro	0:2
28.03.24	Holstebro - Næsby	1:0
30.09.23	Næsby - Holstebro	1:2
12.03.23	Holstebro - Næsby	0:1
03.09.22	Næsby - Holstebro	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
01.05.21	Næsby - Holstebro	1:0
08.11.20	Holstebro - Næsby	1:5

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