Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 18

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		Drochtersen Assel

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.1
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3.13	3.5	2.15
	3.01	3.57	2.1
	3.08	3.38	2.09
	3.1	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.38)	3.45 ↓ (3.85)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
30%

Draw
26.5%

Drochtersen Assel
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

23.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Drochtersen Assel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drochtersen Assel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drochtersen Assel than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drochtersen Assel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Gottel M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 1.

Holstein Kiel II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Drochtersen Assel is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Holstein Kiel II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Drochtersen Assel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:14 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
03.11.24	Holstein Kiel II - SC Weiche-08	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Meppen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLW
- SV Drochtersen Assel
German Regionalliga North
02.11.24	Hamburger II - Drochtersen Assel	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Drochtersen Assel - St. Pauli II	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Todesfelde - Drochtersen Assel	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Drochtersen Assel - Werder Bremen II	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Oldenburg - Drochtersen Assel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.07.24	Drochtersen Assel - Holstein Kiel II	1:1
02.03.24	Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel	1:3
10.09.23	Drochtersen Assel - Holstein Kiel II	2:1
30.04.23	Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel	2:0
23.10.22	Drochtersen Assel - Holstein Kiel II	3:3
21.11.21	Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel	1:1
05.09.21	Drochtersen Assel - Holstein Kiel II	0:3

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