Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 14

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.8	3.8
	1.72	4	4
	1.75	4.08	3.93
	1.71	4.08	3.9
	1.65	4	4
	1.7	3.88	3.96
	1.72	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.98 ↓ (4)	3.94 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
53.7%

Draw
23%

St. Pauli II
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

22%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
34', 0 - 1, Ulbricht J. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Hermann M. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Staugaard E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 4, Ulbricht J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 1.

Holstein Kiel II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St. Pauli II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holstein Kiel II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Holstein Kiel II is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
06.10.24	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	0:3 ✺
02.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Holstein Kiel II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Kickers Emden - Holstein Kiel II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWTW
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
06.10.24	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	1:4 ✺
03.10.24	St. Pauli II - Meppen	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	2:4 ✺
22.09.24	St. Pauli II - Werder Bremen II	1:5 ✺
14.09.24	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
27.04.24	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	1:1
28.10.23	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	2:3
26.05.23	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	3:5
08.11.22	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	0:0
04.12.21	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	0:0
18.09.21	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	0:2
13.09.20	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	1:0

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