Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 15

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Hamburger II		Holstein Kiel II

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.75
	2.1	3.75	3
	2.06	3.9	3.14
	2.02	3.72	3.08
	1.99	3.74	3.04
	2.1	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	3.74 ↑ (3.66)	3 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
44.8%

Draw
24.6%

Holstein Kiel II
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Holstein Kiel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Holstein Kiel II aligns with the current prediction.

Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sillah O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Zimmer M. N. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Gandert J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg II won 1.

Hamburg II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Holstein Kiel II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hamburg II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamburg II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:21 (average 2.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg II won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
16.10.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Hamburger II	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	1:4 ✺
03.10.24	Hamburger II - Todesfelde	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW
- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
13.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	0:3 ✺
02.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Oldenburg - Holstein Kiel II	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Holstein Kiel II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
11.02.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:3
19.08.23	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	4:1
18.03.23	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	2:2
31.07.22	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	4:0
29.11.21	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	0:3
12.09.21	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	3:1
01.11.20	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	1:3

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