Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Holstein Kiel II		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.35	3.75	2.6
	2.35	3.85	2.63
	2.36	3.63	2.58	Watch
	2.38	3.75	2.38
	2.31	3.65	2.5
	2.35	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.59)	3.7 ↑ (3.68)	2.53 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
39.1%

Draw
24.8%

Phönix Lübeck
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

24.6%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phönix Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Fritzsche L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Breitenbucher N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟥,
71', 1 - 2, Berger J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 4.

Holstein Kiel II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Phönix Lübeck is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Phönix Lübeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Holstein Kiel II have a series of guest games.

Recently Phönix Lübeck have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
01.09.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Holstein Kiel II - Eintracht Norderstedt	5:1 ✺
21.08.24	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Jeddeloh - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTL
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
03.09.24	Phönix Lübeck - Kickers Emden	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	3:5 ✺
21.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Todesfelde	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
12.05.24	Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck	1:0
11.11.23	Phönix Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	1:3
07.05.23	Phönix Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	1:2
30.10.22	Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
07.11.21	Holstein Kiel II - Phönix Lübeck	1:0
28.08.21	Phönix Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	2:3

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