Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.65	2.30
	2.47	3.84	2.35
	2.59	3.63	2.45	Watch
	2.40	3.80	2.30
	2.42	3.64	2.30
	2.41	3.75	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.59)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	2.33 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
36.9%

Draw
24.3%

Guilsfield
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, O'Donnel J. ⚽,
64', 0 - 2, Knott R. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 1.

Holyhead is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Guilsfield has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Holyhead has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:15 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Holyhead against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Guilsfield	10	4	4	2	16:12	4	16
14	Holyhead	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Guilsfield - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Llanuwchllyn - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Porthmadog	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Bangor 1876	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Guilsfield - Gresford Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brickfield Rangers - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
07.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	1:0
08.11.25	Guilsfield - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1
01.04.23	Guilsfield - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0
25.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	0:4
18.12.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	1:1
31.07.21	Guilsfield - Holyhead Hotspur	3:0

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