Match Info

Cymru North - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.15	1.65
	3.95	4.46	1.7
	3.45	2.79	2.34	Watch
	4.06	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.54)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	1.84 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
24.6%

Draw
24.3%

Penrhyncoch
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

25.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

24.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holyhead Hotspur's form might have worsened.

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holyhead Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Davies Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Graves C. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Holyhead is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Penrhyncoch's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Holyhead has had a series of away games.

Penrhyncoch could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Holyhead won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Rhyl - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
22.08.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
25.07.25	Llandudno - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Airbus UK Broughton	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Newtown	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
04.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1
28.01.23	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	2:1
12.03.22	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	0:1
02.10.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1

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