Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Homberg		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.77
	3.65	3.55	1.84
	3.65	3.75	1.83
	3.9	3.98	1.79
	4.05	4.05	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.94)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
24.4%

Draw
24.4%

Alemannia Aachen
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Homberg's form might have worsened.

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alemannia Aachen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Homberg - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Homberg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Aachen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aachen: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aachen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aachen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
07.05.22	Köln II - Homberg	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Homberg - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	Lippstadt 08 - Homberg	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Uerdingen - Homberg	0:4 ✺
16.04.22	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 LWWWL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
06.05.22	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
30.04.22	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
27.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Alemannia Aachen - Wuppertal	1:2 ✺
20.04.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
16.02.22	Alemannia Aachen - Homberg	2:0
07.04.21	Homberg - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
04.11.20	Alemannia Aachen - Homberg	2:0
07.02.20	Homberg - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
24.08.19	Alemannia Aachen - Homberg	1:1

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