Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Homberg		Köln II

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.55
	5.2	4.1	1.48
	5.2	4.1	1.53
	5.34	4.17	1.57
	4.2	3.7	1.7
	5.45	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.8)	4 ↓ (4.03)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
18.2%

Draw
23%

Köln II
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22.9%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

14.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Homberg - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Homberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Köln II have a series of home games.

In this match Köln II is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
20.11.21	Wiedenbrück - Homberg	3:0 ✺
13.11.21	Homberg - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Homberg	3:1 ✺
30.10.21	Homberg - Lippstadt 08	3:2 ✺
23.10.21	Schalke 04 II - Homberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLWT
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
21.11.21	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Köln II - Wuppertal	0:3 ✺
30.10.21	Straelen - Köln II	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Köln II - Rödinghausen	2:3 ✺
23.10.21	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
10.04.21	Köln II - Homberg	5:2
07.11.20	Homberg - Köln II	0:0
07.03.20	Köln II - Homberg	3:0
21.09.19	Homberg - Köln II	1:1

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