Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Homberg		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.8	1.3
	7	4.5	1.32
	7.6	4.9	1.32
	8.61	4.9	1.35
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	8.7	5.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.69 ↑ (6.88)	4.8 ↑ (4.37)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
11.9%

Draw
19.1%

Preußen Münster
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

21%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.1%

76.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preußen Münster could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Homberg - Preußen Münster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Homberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Münster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Münster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Münster is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
09.10.21	Bonner - Homberg	2:0 ✺
06.10.21	Homberg - Straelen	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Homberg	4:0 ✺
25.09.21	Homberg - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Wuppertal - Homberg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL
- Preußen Münster
German Regionalliga West
09.10.21	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:0 ✺
01.10.21	Fortuna Köln - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
26.09.21	Preußen Münster - Wuppertal	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Straelen - Preußen Münster	0:4 ✺
14.09.21	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
06.02.21	Homberg - Preußen Münster	0:1
19.09.20	Preußen Münster - Homberg	2:1

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