Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday


	Homberg		Schalke 04 II

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.62
	4.3	3.6	1.7
	4.2	3.75	1.7
	4.94	3.86	1.66
	3.6	3.3	1.88
	4.8	3.88	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
21%

Draw
25%

Schalke 04 II
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.1%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Schalke 04 II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04 II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Homberg - Schalke 04 II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

In this match Schalke 04 II is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Homberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
26.03.22	Preußen Münster - Homberg	2:0 ✺
19.03.22	Homberg - Bonner	0:3 ✺
16.03.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Homberg	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Homberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
05.03.22	Fortuna Köln - Homberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLLT
- Schalke 04 II
German Regionalliga West
25.03.22	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:4 ✺
19.03.22	Fortuna Köln - Schalke 04 II	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Schalke 04 II - Wuppertal	0:4 ✺
05.03.22	Straelen - Schalke 04 II	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Schalke 04 II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
23.10.21	Schalke 04 II - Homberg	0:0
27.02.21	Schalke 04 II - Homberg	2:0
03.10.20	Homberg - Schalke 04 II	1:2
02.11.19	Schalke 04 II - Homberg	4:0
Club Friendly
05.03.19	Homberg - Schalke 04 II	1:0
23.01.19	Homberg - Schalke 04 II	Canceled

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